CryptoPunk #3856 valuation (beta)
Female, Earring, Cap.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.7 ETH (about $74,335). 1σ range 29.1 to 32.3 ETH, 2σ range 27.6 to 34.0 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.1 to 32.3 ETH, 2σ range 27.6 to 34.0 ETH, confidence High, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (440 sales, 12 months).
- No attribute of this punk has a clear premium in recent sales, so the estimate is the type multiple.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9758 2025-08-09: 55.0 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9758 2025-08-08: 52.0 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9758 2025-07-28: 51.8 ETH (29.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8580 2025-05-15: 47.0 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8580 2025-05-02: 42.8 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8580 2025-04-29: 42.6 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #728 2025-04-09: 47.0 ETH (33.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #728 2025-01-23: 44.0 ETH (33.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-05-24: 15.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-06-11: 16.2 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-30: 25.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-01: 36.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-01: 37.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-05: 53.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-24: 82.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-26: 88.7 ETH (sale)
- 2021-10-29: 100 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-11-13: 84.9 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.