CryptoPunk #3857 valuation (beta)
Male, Shaved Head, Nerd Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 34.1 ETH (about $77,572). 1σ range 31.4 to 37.1 ETH, 2σ range 28.8 to 40.4 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 34.1 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.4 to 37.1 ETH, 2σ range 28.8 to 40.4 ETH, confidence High, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Shaved Head -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8135 2026-01-20: 32.0 ETH (35.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5418 2025-11-23: 37.5 ETH (37.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8682 2025-09-28: 45.0 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4717 2025-08-12: 58.0 ETH (32.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5418 2025-08-09: 54.9 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5418 2025-07-29: 53.2 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5418 2025-07-28: 51.7 ETH (28.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9274 2025-07-16: 46.7 ETH (32.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-05-20: 0.81 ETH (sale)
- 2020-09-15: 1.92 ETH (sale)
- 2021-09-07: 149 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.