CryptoPunk #3858 valuation (beta)
Female, Purple Lipstick, Earring, Knitted Cap, Clown Eyes Blue, Clown Nose.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 28.6 ETH (about $64,967). 1σ range 26.8 to 30.5 ETH, 2σ range 25.1 to 32.5 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 28.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 26.8 to 30.5 ETH, 2σ range 25.1 to 32.5 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Clown Nose -7%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 4+ sales landed within ±3.4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.5% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3911 2026-03-04: 29.0 ETH (29.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4405 2026-10-22: 88.0 ETH (84.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4351 2026-10-02: 31.7 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1452 2026-09-23: 35.0 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1707 2026-09-23: 32.5 ETH (28.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8674 2026-09-22: 35.6 ETH (32.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6570 2026-08-24: 34.5 ETH (31.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7056 2026-07-03: 31.3 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-01-04: 17.0 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.