CryptoPunk #3871 valuation (beta)
Male, Smile, Front Beard Dark, Messy Hair, Medical Mask, Clown Nose.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 37.9 ETH (about $86,160). 1σ range 33.7 to 42.7 ETH, 2σ range 29.9 to 48.1 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 37.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.7 to 42.7 ETH, 2σ range 29.9 to 48.1 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Smile +17%, Front Beard Dark -7%, Clown Nose -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #5674 2026-01-02: 27.3 ETH (29.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4173 2025-11-27: 32.7 ETH (32.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4173 2025-11-26: 31.0 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4173 2025-09-25: 45.0 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8798 2025-07-30: 54.0 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4390 2025-03-28: 43.9 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4390 2025-03-25: 43.5 ETH (31.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5774 2025-02-17: 44.0 ETH (37.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-07-31: 80.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-01-29: 130 ETH (sale)
- 2022-12-26: 30.0 ETH (sale, not used: below-half-floor)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.