CryptoPunk #3873 valuation (beta)
Male, Hoodie, Big Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 124 ETH (about $282,508). 1σ range 63.1 to 245 ETH, 2σ range 32.1 to 481 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 124 ETH (beta), 1σ range 63.1 to 245 ETH, 2σ range 32.1 to 481 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Hoodie +238%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8359 2026-08-24: 125 ETH (116 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9953 2026-06-18: 165 ETH (151 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7213 2026-05-04: 115 ETH (111 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7213 2026-04-23: 101 ETH (104 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9778 2025-05-31: 150 ETH (98.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4220 2025-03-14: 135 ETH (105 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7779 2026-10-20: 145 ETH (139 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6687 2026-10-16: 43.5 ETH (42.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-06-17: 59.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-04: 73.3 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-01: 175 ETH (sale)
- 2025-04-16: 165 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.