CryptoPunk #3878 valuation (beta)
Male, Handlebars, Earring, Headband.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 35.0 ETH (about $84,699). 1σ range 32.0 to 38.2 ETH, 2σ range 29.3 to 41.7 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 03:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 35.0 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.0 to 38.2 ETH, 2σ range 29.3 to 41.7 ETH, confidence High, as of 03:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 03:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Handlebars -6%, Earring -2%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1607 2026-09-17: 33.5 ETH (34.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #1607 2026-07-04: 34.6 ETH (32.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #1607 2026-02-05: 29.5 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9018 2026-10-29: 30.0 ETH (31.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3378 2026-10-14: 33.0 ETH (32.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9018 2026-08-21: 37.0 ETH (34.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4256 2026-07-21: 33.4 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8992 2026-07-19: 30.6 ETH (29.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-09-14: 1.60 ETH (sale)
- 2020-09-27: 3.10 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-08: 6.70 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-22: 25.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-28: 109 ETH (sale)
- 2021-10-22: 94.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-12-01: 88.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.