CryptoPunk #3889 valuation (beta)
Male, Smile, Police Cap.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 45.8 ETH (about $104,198). 1σ range 37.9 to 55.5 ETH, 2σ range 31.3 to 67.2 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 299 ETH, 9.8σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 45.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 37.9 to 55.5 ETH, 2σ range 31.3 to 67.2 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Smile +17%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #5491 2026-01-06: 32.5 ETH (32.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5491 2025-09-11: 46.1 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5491 2025-09-04: 50.0 ETH (31.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5491 2025-05-03: 44.9 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5491 2024-11-16: 39.7 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6687 2026-10-16: 43.5 ETH (42.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7591 2026-09-25: 33.2 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9449 2026-09-22: 33.9 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-10-03: 6.80 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.