CryptoPunk #3914 valuation (beta)
Male, Mole, Cowboy Hat.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 59.6 ETH (about $135,608). 1σ range 43.5 to 81.8 ETH, 2σ range 31.7 to 112 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 59.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 43.5 to 81.8 ETH, 2σ range 31.7 to 112 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Mole -7%, Cowboy Hat +96%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #735 2024-12-11: 68.0 ETH (51.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3638 2024-12-04: 79.7 ETH (53.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3638 2024-12-02: 68.7 ETH (46.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3425 2026-11-02: 27.6 ETH (27.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #926 2026-10-06: 34.5 ETH (31.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #926 2026-09-24: 32.8 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #926 2026-09-22: 35.0 ETH (32.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4241 2026-09-22: 36.8 ETH (34.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-01-31: 7.00 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-21: 25.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-22: 42.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-12: 42.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-17: 35.9 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-26: 38.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-30: 42.9 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-01: 66.7 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-07: 100 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2023-11-15: 80.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.