CryptoPunk #3923 valuation (beta)
Male, Cap, Cigarette.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 39.2 ETH (about $89,042). 1σ range 34.6 to 44.3 ETH, 2σ range 30.5 to 50.2 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 39.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 34.6 to 44.3 ETH, 2σ range 30.5 to 50.2 ETH, confidence High, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3123 2025-11-18: 30.8 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2408 2025-09-29: 49.0 ETH (31.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9721 2025-08-31: 81.0 ETH (51.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3843 2025-06-26: 48.4 ETH (37.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3843 2025-06-12: 50.4 ETH (34.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3843 2025-03-13: 41.0 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9289 2025-01-18: 40.0 ETH (32.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3843 2025-01-17: 45.5 ETH (35.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2019-02-22: 1.00 ETH (sale)
- 2020-08-23: 0.90 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.