CryptoPunk #393 valuation (beta)
Male, Cap Forward, Cigarette, VR.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 46.7 ETH (about $106,289). 1σ range 38.3 to 57.1 ETH, 2σ range 31.3 to 69.8 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 46.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 38.3 to 57.1 ETH, 2σ range 31.3 to 69.8 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, VR +23%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9558 2026-07-21: 57.0 ETH (53.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8407 2025-10-27: 100 ETH (76.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3612 2025-07-28: 60.0 ETH (33.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7143 2025-03-11: 47.7 ETH (37.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #206 2024-12-03: 48.9 ETH (33.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #206 2024-11-14: 33.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3425 2026-11-02: 27.6 ETH (27.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9132 2026-10-30: 28.5 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
None on record.
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.