CryptoPunk #3961 valuation (beta)
Female, Black Lipstick, Earring, Mohawk Thin, Cigarette, Clown Nose.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 28.7 ETH (about $65,284). 1σ range 26.9 to 30.6 ETH, 2σ range 25.3 to 32.6 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 28.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 26.9 to 30.6 ETH, 2σ range 25.3 to 32.6 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +3%, Cigarette -2%, Clown Nose -7%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 4+ sales landed within ±3.4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.5% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #6379 2026-05-16: 31.8 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2127 2026-01-15: 29.4 ETH (30.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6379 2026-01-09: 27.7 ETH (28.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5108 2025-11-24: 36.0 ETH (34.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8774 2025-08-09: 54.0 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8774 2025-08-05: 51.0 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7155 2025-08-05: 52.5 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7155 2025-08-04: 50.5 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2022-01-14: 82.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2025-08-10: 75.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.