CryptoPunk #3964 valuation (beta)
Female, Black Lipstick, Mole, Dark Hair, Green Eye Shadow.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.7 ETH (about $69,835). 1σ range 29.1 to 32.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.6 to 34.2 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.1 to 32.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.6 to 34.2 ETH, confidence Low, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- No attribute of this punk has a clear premium in recent sales, so the estimate is the type multiple.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 4+ sales landed within ±3.4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.5% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #5702 2025-09-12: 58.0 ETH (37.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5702 2024-11-15: 34.8 ETH (27.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4075 2026-10-08: 31.5 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4075 2026-09-23: 33.6 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4075 2026-09-20: 29.7 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9691 2026-06-05: 30.8 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1940 2026-04-26: 29.9 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6668 2026-02-20: 33.7 ETH (33.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-02-16: 1.30 ETH (sale)
- 2020-09-15: 2.89 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-17: 18.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-22: 22.5 ETH (sale)
- 2022-06-18: 55.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-06-19: 63.0 ETH (sale, not used: round-trip-30d)
- 2022-06-24: 61.0 ETH (accepted bid, not used: round-trip-30d)
- 2022-07-02: 66.0 ETH (sale, not used: twin-of-nominal-24h)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.