CryptoPunk #3994 valuation (beta)
Male, Shadow Beard, Crazy Hair, Small Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 38.2 ETH (about $92,447). 1σ range 34.0 to 42.8 ETH, 2σ range 30.3 to 48.0 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 250 ETH, 16.4σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 38.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 34.0 to 42.8 ETH, 2σ range 30.3 to 48.0 ETH, confidence High, as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1989 2026-09-22: 45.0 ETH (42.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4255 2026-09-02: 33.5 ETH (32.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2276 2026-06-30: 45.5 ETH (43.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4255 2026-06-28: 32.8 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8492 2026-05-10: 32.8 ETH (32.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8492 2026-05-01: 31.9 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8492 2026-04-28: 30.5 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #1572 2026-04-02: 28.3 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-08-23: 80.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-23: 104 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-28: 151 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-28: 174 ETH (sale)
- 2021-12-24: 88.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-12-30: 106 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.