CryptoPunk #4004 valuation (beta)
Female, Tiara, Eye Patch.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 54.6 ETH (about $124,059). 1σ range 40.7 to 73.1 ETH, 2σ range 30.4 to 97.8 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 54.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 40.7 to 73.1 ETH, 2σ range 30.4 to 97.8 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +4%, Tiara +71%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1603 2026-10-22: 62.0 ETH (59.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7916 2026-10-05: 33.6 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4711 2026-08-20: 32.4 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4654 2026-07-03: 78.0 ETH (72.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7138 2026-07-03: 63.3 ETH (58.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4752 2026-04-25: 38.0 ETH (38.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5734 2026-02-05: 46.0 ETH (46.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7916 2025-12-30: 27.0 ETH (30.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
None on record.
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.