CryptoPunk #4012 valuation (beta)
Male, Top Hat.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 60.8 ETH (about $138,191). 1σ range 41.7 to 88.7 ETH, 2σ range 28.5 to 129 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 60.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 41.7 to 88.7 ETH, 2σ range 28.5 to 129 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, 1 attribute (vs 3) +15%, Top Hat +30%.
- In the backtest, Male 0-1 sales landed within ±7.8% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±27.5% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #6648 2026-08-03: 42.0 ETH (39.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7519 2026-07-03: 58.9 ETH (54.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8870 2026-05-19: 130 ETH (115 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9133 2026-04-16: 38.0 ETH (43.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3682 2026-03-19: 41.7 ETH (43.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1687 2026-02-01: 37.0 ETH (40.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7047 2025-07-28: 85.0 ETH (47.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7047 2025-05-12: 70.5 ETH (46.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-07-13: 0.50 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.