CryptoPunk #4054 valuation (beta)
Male, Big Beard, Messy Hair, Big Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 38.2 ETH (about $86,741). 1σ range 34.0 to 42.8 ETH, 2σ range 30.3 to 48.0 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 200 ETH, 14.5σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 38.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 34.0 to 42.8 ETH, 2σ range 30.3 to 48.0 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8833 2026-04-03: 39.3 ETH (42.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8205 2026-03-30: 31.5 ETH (32.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8205 2026-03-23: 30.2 ETH (31.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8833 2025-12-22: 33.5 ETH (37.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9968 2025-10-07: 58.0 ETH (35.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1820 2025-04-15: 72.7 ETH (51.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8832 2025-04-14: 53.7 ETH (38.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8832 2025-02-10: 40.3 ETH (33.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-04-10: 31.7 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-31: 60.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.