CryptoPunk #4068 valuation (beta)
Male, Frown, Mustache, Earring, Mohawk.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 34.4 ETH (about $78,261). 1σ range 31.3 to 37.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.5 to 41.6 ETH. Confidence: Medium. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 34.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.3 to 37.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.5 to 41.6 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Earring -2%, Mohawk -8%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9110 2026-04-10: 30.0 ETH (32.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6724 2025-03-24: 42.3 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9717 2025-01-02: 39.5 ETH (31.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4050 2024-12-11: 39.0 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4050 2024-12-04: 40.0 ETH (27.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6724 2024-12-02: 44.0 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6724 2024-11-30: 41.0 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9132 2026-10-30: 28.5 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-05-22: 1.00 ETH (sale)
- 2020-11-28: 4.25 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.