CryptoPunk #4076 valuation (beta)
Male, Wild Hair, Cigarette, Regular Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 38.2 ETH (about $86,741). 1σ range 34.0 to 42.8 ETH, 2σ range 30.3 to 48.0 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 38.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 34.0 to 42.8 ETH, 2σ range 30.3 to 48.0 ETH, confidence High, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3425 2026-11-02: 27.6 ETH (27.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3425 2026-07-30: 33.0 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6530 2026-04-09: 37.3 ETH (39.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3425 2026-03-27: 27.3 ETH (28.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7950 2026-01-12: 32.0 ETH (32.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8530 2025-10-31: 54.0 ETH (43.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4762 2025-10-30: 46.0 ETH (36.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #750 2025-08-22: 47.3 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-12-21: 75.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-12-22: 78.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-03-21: 80.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-04-11: 80.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-06-26: 71.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.