CryptoPunk #4078 valuation (beta)
Female, Mole, Mohawk Thin, Clown Nose.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 28.6 ETH (about $64,967). 1σ range 26.8 to 30.4 ETH, 2σ range 25.2 to 32.4 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 28.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 26.8 to 30.4 ETH, 2σ range 25.2 to 32.4 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Clown Nose -7%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9433 2026-06-05: 30.5 ETH (28.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9433 2026-05-23: 32.5 ETH (29.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3961 2025-08-10: 75.0 ETH (41.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1512 2025-07-20: 43.0 ETH (27.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6897 2026-10-27: 29.4 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6897 2026-10-27: 29.0 ETH (28.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6897 2026-10-27: 28.4 ETH (28.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6239 2026-10-15: 31.9 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-13: 10.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-29: 140 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.