CryptoPunk #4086 valuation (beta)
Female, Purple Lipstick, Wild White Hair, Clown Eyes Green.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 40.8 ETH (about $92,735). 1σ range 35.1 to 47.4 ETH, 2σ range 30.2 to 55.2 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 500 ETH, 16.6σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 40.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 35.1 to 47.4 ETH, 2σ range 30.2 to 55.2 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +3%, Wild White Hair +35%, Clown Eyes Green -4%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7083 2025-12-27: 33.8 ETH (37.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7083 2024-12-01: 46.0 ETH (32.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3364 2026-10-30: 29.0 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3364 2026-10-28: 28.5 ETH (28.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4405 2026-10-22: 88.0 ETH (84.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9710 2026-07-04: 32.5 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8999 2026-06-25: 30.5 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4153 2026-06-14: 41.5 ETH (38.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
None on record.
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.