CryptoPunk #4096 valuation (beta)
Male, Front Beard Dark, Cap Forward, Big Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.4 ETH (about $71,445). 1σ range 29.0 to 34.1 ETH, 2σ range 26.7 to 37.0 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.0 to 34.1 ETH, 2σ range 26.7 to 37.0 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Front Beard Dark -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8359 2026-08-24: 125 ETH (116 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #768 2026-04-17: 34.0 ETH (38.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9390 2026-02-26: 32.8 ETH (32.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7029 2025-03-21: 39.7 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4620 2024-11-12: 36.0 ETH (36.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9176 2026-10-27: 30.5 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6687 2026-10-16: 43.5 ETH (42.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5098 2026-10-15: 30.4 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-07-22: 23.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-30: 24.9 ETH (sale)
- 2023-07-13: 55.8 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.