CryptoPunk #4106 valuation (beta)
Female, Earring, Tassle Hat, Blue Eye Shadow.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.6 ETH (about $71,775). 1σ range 29.9 to 33.3 ETH, 2σ range 28.3 to 35.2 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.9 to 33.3 ETH, 2σ range 28.3 to 35.2 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +3%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4898 2025-08-13: 58.0 ETH (33.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6047 2025-06-04: 48.9 ETH (32.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9358 2025-04-24: 43.1 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9358 2025-03-26: 38.0 ETH (27.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7587 2026-09-17: 29.4 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6753 2026-05-14: 60.0 ETH (60.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6665 2026-03-20: 32.5 ETH (34.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6665 2026-03-05: 31.3 ETH (31.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-11-04: 100 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-11-14: 88.8 ETH (sale)
- 2022-04-12: 62.6 ETH (sale)
- 2022-07-16: 81.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-09-17: 66.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.