CryptoPunk #4111 valuation (beta)
Male, Goat, Mohawk, Small Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 34.8 ETH (about $79,050). 1σ range 31.9 to 38.0 ETH, 2σ range 29.2 to 41.4 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 34.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.9 to 38.0 ETH, 2σ range 29.2 to 41.4 ETH, confidence High, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, Goat -7%, Mohawk -8%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8233 2026-11-02: 31.4 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8233 2026-10-28: 30.5 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8340 2026-07-12: 37.5 ETH (34.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4126 2026-03-30: 31.0 ETH (32.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7444 2026-01-27: 28.4 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #239 2025-12-22: 26.1 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7444 2025-11-29: 33.0 ETH (32.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2744 2025-11-05: 36.8 ETH (30.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-09-07: 1.10 ETH (sale)
- 2020-09-14: 1.89 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-18: 17.5 ETH (sale)
- 2024-04-11: 41.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.