CryptoPunk #4114 valuation (beta)
Male, Normal Beard, Cap Forward.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 39.2 ETH (about $94,898). 1σ range 34.6 to 44.3 ETH, 2σ range 30.5 to 50.2 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 39.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 34.6 to 44.3 ETH, 2σ range 30.5 to 50.2 ETH, confidence Low, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #6479 2025-05-18: 58.4 ETH (38.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6479 2025-05-15: 51.0 ETH (33.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4202 2026-10-29: 40.0 ETH (41.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4341 2026-10-05: 33.9 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #1824 2026-10-02: 45.5 ETH (41.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6489 2026-10-02: 45.0 ETH (41.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4341 2026-09-28: 33.0 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4341 2026-09-25: 31.4 ETH (28.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-06-16: 19.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-10-16: 155 ETH (sale)
- 2022-05-11: 52.5 ETH (sale)
- 2022-05-12: 65.0 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.