CryptoPunk #4117 valuation (beta)
Female, Hot Lipstick, Stringy Hair, Clown Eyes Green.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 29.5 ETH (about $67,057). 1σ range 27.9 to 31.2 ETH, 2σ range 26.4 to 33.0 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 29.5 ETH (beta), 1σ range 27.9 to 31.2 ETH, 2σ range 26.4 to 33.0 ETH, confidence High, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +3%, Stringy Hair -3%, Clown Eyes Green -4%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #471 2026-09-23: 32.7 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5541 2026-08-23: 50.5 ETH (47.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7981 2026-04-17: 25.1 ETH (28.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5863 2026-04-08: 27.1 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5863 2026-04-05: 27.0 ETH (28.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8746 2026-02-02: 27.8 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8746 2025-10-13: 46.7 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8746 2025-10-10: 45.0 ETH (28.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-22: 21.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-22: 22.2 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-15: 20.3 ETH (sale)
- 2022-06-15: 48.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-06-18: 55.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-10-31: 65.0 ETH (sale, not used: twin-of-nominal-24h)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.