CryptoPunk #4121 valuation (beta)
Male, Spots, Silver Chain, Chinstrap, Earring, Mohawk, Cigarette.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.9 ETH (about $77,251). 1σ range 29.2 to 34.9 ETH, 2σ range 26.7 to 38.1 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.2 to 34.9 ETH, 2σ range 26.7 to 38.1 ETH, confidence Low, as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Chinstrap -5%, Earring -2%, Mohawk -8%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9132 2026-10-30: 28.5 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2957 2026-07-12: 34.9 ETH (32.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2957 2026-07-03: 33.3 ETH (31.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4777 2026-05-16: 35.0 ETH (32.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9132 2026-01-23: 27.3 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2957 2025-11-18: 27.7 ETH (27.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9622 2025-06-14: 46.7 ETH (32.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9622 2025-05-30: 48.5 ETH (32.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
None on record.
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.