CryptoPunk #4123 valuation (beta)
Male, Chinstrap, Headband.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 34.1 ETH (about $77,507). 1σ range 31.3 to 37.1 ETH, 2σ range 28.8 to 40.3 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 34.1 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.3 to 37.1 ETH, 2σ range 28.8 to 40.3 ETH, confidence High, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Chinstrap -5%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8272 2026-09-23: 34.6 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4164 2026-08-20: 35.6 ETH (32.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8716 2025-04-26: 46.7 ETH (31.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4164 2025-02-01: 40.0 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8716 2025-01-24: 42.7 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8178 2024-12-14: 42.9 ETH (33.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8178 2024-12-04: 44.2 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8178 2024-12-02: 45.0 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-09-11: 1.00 ETH (sale)
- 2020-09-14: 1.46 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.