CryptoPunk #4130 valuation (beta)
Female, Purple Lipstick, Dark Hair.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 37.9 ETH (about $86,116). 1σ range 33.7 to 42.6 ETH, 2σ range 30.0 to 47.9 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 37.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.7 to 42.6 ETH, 2σ range 30.0 to 47.9 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +23%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9710 2026-07-04: 32.5 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5629 2026-03-11: 29.8 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4332 2024-11-30: 40.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4332 2024-11-26: 34.5 ETH (27.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3364 2026-10-30: 29.0 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3364 2026-10-28: 28.5 ETH (28.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4405 2026-10-22: 88.0 ETH (84.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6936 2026-10-06: 33.0 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-05-08: 26.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-06-26: 21.4 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-20: 25.9 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-26: 22.0 ETH (sale, not used: round-trip-30d)
- 2021-07-30: 23.0 ETH (sale, not used: round-trip-30d)
- 2021-08-04: 40.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-08-25: 100 ETH (sale)
- 2021-11-11: 86.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-12-22: 70.0 ETH (sale)
- 2024-12-22: 42.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.