CryptoPunk #414 valuation (beta)
Male, Shadow Beard, Earring, Top Hat.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 48.5 ETH (about $110,285). 1σ range 39.0 to 60.3 ETH, 2σ range 31.4 to 74.9 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 48.5 ETH (beta), 1σ range 39.0 to 60.3 ETH, 2σ range 31.4 to 74.9 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Earring -2%, Top Hat +30%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2311 2026-08-05: 269 ETH (254 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5322 2026-08-03: 34.9 ETH (32.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7519 2026-07-03: 58.9 ETH (54.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8870 2026-05-19: 130 ETH (115 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2535 2025-12-11: 34.4 ETH (34.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6138 2025-10-22: 42.0 ETH (32.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3544 2025-08-21: 55.0 ETH (35.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9421 2025-08-06: 54.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
None on record.
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.