CryptoPunk #4141 valuation (beta)
Male, Smile, Messy Hair, Pipe, Regular Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 43.6 ETH (about $99,230). 1σ range 36.7 to 51.9 ETH, 2σ range 30.8 to 61.8 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 43.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 36.7 to 51.9 ETH, 2σ range 30.8 to 61.8 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Smile +17%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4523 2026-08-07: 58.0 ETH (53.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9659 2026-05-06: 38.9 ETH (37.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2956 2026-02-04: 29.4 ETH (32.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2956 2026-02-03: 28.0 ETH (31.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8739 2025-12-29: 47.0 ETH (52.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8739 2025-11-16: 40.0 ETH (38.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4523 2025-10-10: 52.7 ETH (33.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4523 2025-10-06: 49.0 ETH (30.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-03-25: 35.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-09: 47.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-04-21: 85.9 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.