CryptoPunk #4146 valuation (beta)
Female, Wild Hair, Eye Patch.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.7 ETH (about $69,835). 1σ range 29.2 to 32.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.7 to 34.1 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.2 to 32.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.7 to 34.1 ETH, confidence High, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- No attribute of this punk has a clear premium in recent sales, so the estimate is the type multiple.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #5724 2025-07-20: 49.5 ETH (31.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4693 2025-04-07: 43.5 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4693 2025-01-23: 42.0 ETH (31.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4693 2024-12-20: 38.0 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #874 2026-10-30: 28.9 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2278 2026-10-30: 27.1 ETH (28.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7916 2026-10-05: 33.6 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1707 2026-09-23: 32.5 ETH (28.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-12-17: 0.14 ETH (sale)
- 2020-01-13: 0.90 ETH (sale)
- 2020-09-14: 2.40 ETH (sale)
- 2022-04-21: 56.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2022-04-22: 57.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-06-26: 75.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.