CryptoPunk #4148 valuation (beta)
Male, Luxurious Beard, Cap Forward, Regular Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 33.9 ETH (about $82,123). 1σ range 31.2 to 36.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.7 to 40.0 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 33.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.2 to 36.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.7 to 40.0 ETH, confidence Low, as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #6489 2026-10-02: 45.0 ETH (41.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9478 2026-08-24: 47.0 ETH (44.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5092 2026-06-13: 200 ETH (186 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #1008 2025-08-12: 64.8 ETH (36.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6489 2025-04-02: 60.0 ETH (42.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6489 2025-03-26: 57.0 ETH (42.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6489 2025-02-28: 49.5 ETH (44.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6489 2025-01-06: 53.0 ETH (42.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-06-24: 0.30 ETH (sale)
- 2020-09-15: 3.00 ETH (sale)
- 2020-09-29: 5.20 ETH (sale)
- 2021-01-25: 9.00 ETH (sale)
- 2021-05-08: 27.5 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-05-09: 30.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.