CryptoPunk #415 valuation (beta)
Male, Frown, Mole, Police Cap, Small Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 35.6 ETH (about $80,890). 1σ range 32.2 to 39.3 ETH, 2σ range 29.1 to 43.5 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 35.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.2 to 39.3 ETH, 2σ range 29.1 to 43.5 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Mole -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #5866 2026-09-17: 29.6 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6669 2026-09-10: 32.0 ETH (32.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5866 2026-09-05: 28.5 ETH (28.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5866 2026-04-22: 28.9 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5205 2026-03-24: 40.0 ETH (40.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8075 2025-06-08: 51.8 ETH (34.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8075 2025-05-28: 50.0 ETH (32.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5999 2025-03-21: 39.6 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
None on record.
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.