CryptoPunk #4150 valuation (beta)
Male, Frumpy Hair, Big Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 33.3 ETH (about $75,823). 1σ range 30.7 to 36.2 ETH, 2σ range 28.3 to 39.2 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 100 ETH, 13.5σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 33.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.7 to 36.2 ETH, 2σ range 28.3 to 39.2 ETH, confidence High, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Frumpy Hair -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4341 2026-10-05: 33.9 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4341 2026-09-28: 33.0 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4341 2026-09-25: 31.4 ETH (27.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4341 2026-09-22: 32.1 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4341 2026-09-22: 32.0 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4341 2026-09-04: 30.1 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6771 2026-03-23: 34.0 ETH (35.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9668 2026-02-18: 48.0 ETH (48.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2018-03-20: 0.15 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.