CryptoPunk #4157 valuation (beta)
Male, Front Beard Dark, Earring, Bandana.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 33.3 ETH (about $75,761). 1σ range 30.7 to 36.1 ETH, 2σ range 28.3 to 39.2 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 33.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.7 to 36.1 ETH, 2σ range 28.3 to 39.2 ETH, confidence High, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Front Beard Dark -7%, Earring -2%, Bandana -4%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2457 2026-01-24: 32.5 ETH (35.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2947 2026-01-02: 27.1 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2457 2025-12-29: 27.1 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2457 2025-12-29: 24.4 ETH (27.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2947 2025-04-21: 42.1 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2947 2025-04-16: 42.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6689 2025-04-12: 44.2 ETH (31.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6689 2025-04-02: 44.8 ETH (31.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-01-26: 4.25 ETH (sale)
- 2021-09-24: 109 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.