CryptoPunk #4160 valuation (beta)
Male, Front Beard Dark, Purple Hair, Small Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 35.4 ETH (about $80,425). 1σ range 32.3 to 38.8 ETH, 2σ range 29.5 to 42.5 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 35.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.3 to 38.8 ETH, 2σ range 29.5 to 42.5 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Front Beard Dark -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2947 2026-01-02: 27.1 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8151 2025-11-11: 33.0 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6457 2025-10-28: 37.5 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8151 2025-07-08: 40.7 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8151 2025-07-01: 39.2 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2947 2025-04-21: 42.1 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2947 2025-04-16: 42.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2362 2025-03-24: 42.4 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2023-08-13: 54.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-10-23: 52.0 ETH (sale)
- 2024-06-03: 32.0 ETH (sale)
- 2024-08-24: 30.7 ETH (sale)
- 2024-11-12: 31.7 ETH (sale)
- 2025-01-23: 43.5 ETH (sale)
- 2025-08-25: 54.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.