CryptoPunk #4164 valuation (beta)
Male, Chinstrap, Headband.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 37.1 ETH (about $84,362). 1σ range 33.4 to 41.2 ETH, 2σ range 30.1 to 45.8 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 37.1 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.4 to 41.2 ETH, 2σ range 30.1 to 45.8 ETH, confidence High, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Chinstrap -5%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8272 2026-09-23: 34.6 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8716 2025-04-26: 46.7 ETH (31.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8716 2025-01-24: 42.7 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8178 2024-12-14: 42.9 ETH (33.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8178 2024-12-04: 44.2 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8178 2024-12-02: 45.0 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2303 2026-11-02: 33.0 ETH (32.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3662 2026-10-25: 30.0 ETH (29.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-07-12: 0.35 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-15: 27.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-28: 125 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-29: 140 ETH (sale)
- 2022-02-09: 60.0 ETH (sale)
- 2024-08-20: 22.0 ETH (sale, not used: twin-of-nominal-24h)
- 2024-08-22: 30.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2024-10-14: 30.9 ETH (sale)
- 2025-02-01: 40.0 ETH (sale)
- 2026-08-20: 35.6 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.