CryptoPunk #4170 valuation (beta)
Male, Earring, Crazy Hair.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.9 ETH (about $77,337). 1σ range 29.5 to 34.6 ETH, 2σ range 27.2 to 37.5 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.5 to 34.6 ETH, 2σ range 27.2 to 37.5 ETH, confidence High, as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Earring -2%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8264 2026-10-14: 55.0 ETH (53.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2505 2026-09-21: 31.7 ETH (31.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2505 2026-08-20: 32.3 ETH (30.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #7310 2026-05-17: 32.9 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8264 2026-05-13: 42.7 ETH (43.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #624 2026-02-05: 33.5 ETH (34.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #624 2025-08-20: 56.9 ETH (36.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6760 2025-07-20: 69.0 ETH (44.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-07-05: 20.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-31: 32.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.