CryptoPunk #4174 valuation (beta)
Male, Mole, Mohawk.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.0 ETH (about $70,509). 1σ range 28.5 to 33.7 ETH, 2σ range 26.3 to 36.6 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.0 ETH (beta), 1σ range 28.5 to 33.7 ETH, 2σ range 26.3 to 36.6 ETH, confidence High, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Mole -7%, Mohawk -8%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2957 2026-07-12: 34.9 ETH (32.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2957 2026-07-03: 33.3 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6318 2026-02-23: 32.0 ETH (32.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6318 2026-02-11: 30.0 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2957 2025-11-18: 27.7 ETH (26.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1436 2025-07-30: 53.8 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6318 2025-07-22: 51.7 ETH (32.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5999 2025-03-21: 39.6 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-02: 5.10 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-08: 18.5 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-03-22: 21.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-03-27: 19.3 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-08: 16.3 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-31: 30.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-01-17: 67.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-01-19: 67.1 ETH (sale)
- 2023-03-19: 74.3 ETH (sale)
- 2025-08-22: 50.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.