CryptoPunk #4181 valuation (beta)
Male, Handlebars, Wild Hair, 3D Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 63.1 ETH (about $143,364). 1σ range 44.8 to 88.8 ETH, 2σ range 31.8 to 125 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 115 ETH, 1.8σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 63.1 ETH (beta), 1σ range 44.8 to 88.8 ETH, 2σ range 31.8 to 125 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Handlebars -6%, 3D Glasses +76%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7461 2026-06-27: 50.0 ETH (46.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5355 2025-10-30: 50.0 ETH (39.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3677 2025-10-25: 78.0 ETH (60.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7461 2025-10-19: 42.0 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3677 2025-08-10: 72.7 ETH (40.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9873 2025-07-29: 61.7 ETH (34.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3007 2025-03-23: 120 ETH (90.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7685 2025-03-03: 58.0 ETH (48.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-17: 18.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-08-18: 160 ETH (sale)
- 2022-12-04: 149 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2022-12-13: 165 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.