CryptoPunk #4182 valuation (beta)
Male, Shadow Beard, Earring, Mohawk Thin.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 32.5 ETH (about $73,881). 1σ range 30.0 to 35.2 ETH, 2σ range 27.7 to 38.1 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 32.5 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.0 to 35.2 ETH, 2σ range 27.7 to 38.1 ETH, confidence High, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Earring -2%, Mohawk Thin -11%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3544 2025-08-21: 55.0 ETH (35.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3339 2025-07-20: 48.0 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3339 2025-05-20: 54.0 ETH (34.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #192 2026-09-24: 36.0 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8375 2026-09-04: 32.5 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2311 2026-08-05: 269 ETH (254 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5322 2026-08-03: 34.9 ETH (32.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5459 2026-07-04: 33.9 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-22: 21.5 ETH (sale)
- 2022-03-02: 70.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-03-13: 70.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2022-04-20: 61.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-04-21: 60.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.