CryptoPunk #4189 valuation (beta)
Male, Knitted Cap, Horned Rim Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 32.7 ETH (about $74,337). 1σ range 30.2 to 35.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.9 to 38.4 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 32.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.2 to 35.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.9 to 38.4 ETH, confidence High, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9795 2026-01-25: 31.9 ETH (33.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9795 2026-01-16: 25.6 ETH (26.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1235 2025-05-19: 47.5 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9685 2025-02-17: 44.9 ETH (37.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1235 2025-01-14: 38.4 ETH (28.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9685 2024-11-23: 43.0 ETH (34.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9685 2024-11-14: 39.0 ETH (35.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7440 2026-11-01: 40.4 ETH (39.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-03-31: 16.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-08: 21.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-06-08: 13.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-28: 139 ETH (sale, not used: twin-of-nominal-24h)
- 2021-10-22: 105 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.