CryptoPunk #4201 valuation (beta)
Male, Messy Hair, Clown Eyes Green.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.2 ETH (about $68,765). 1σ range 27.7 to 33.0 ETH, 2σ range 25.4 to 36.0 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 27.7 to 33.0 ETH, 2σ range 25.4 to 36.0 ETH, confidence High, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Clown Eyes Green -8%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8051 2026-04-09: 30.4 ETH (32.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8051 2026-04-08: 28.8 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4204 2025-02-07: 39.0 ETH (33.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5579 2026-10-30: 38.0 ETH (40.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3662 2026-10-25: 30.0 ETH (29.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3662 2026-10-25: 29.1 ETH (28.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3758 2026-10-12: 40.0 ETH (38.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9706 2026-10-07: 37.7 ETH (34.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2019-09-28: 0.30 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2019-11-25: 0.35 ETH (sale)
- 2020-02-26: 0.56 ETH (sale)
- 2020-05-24: 0.98 ETH (sale)
- 2020-09-11: 1.29 ETH (sale)
- 2023-07-12: 50.4 ETH (sale)
- 2024-01-22: 64.6 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.