CryptoPunk #4208 valuation (beta)
Female, Earring, Stringy Hair, Cigarette.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.1 ETH (about $68,399). 1σ range 28.5 to 31.7 ETH, 2σ range 27.1 to 33.4 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.1 ETH (beta), 1σ range 28.5 to 31.7 ETH, 2σ range 27.1 to 33.4 ETH, confidence High, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +3%, Stringy Hair -3%, Cigarette -2%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #874 2026-10-30: 28.9 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4065 2026-09-22: 32.4 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2131 2026-09-01: 31.7 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5677 2026-08-29: 32.0 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2131 2026-08-18: 32.2 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2131 2026-08-04: 29.1 ETH (27.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2131 2026-07-11: 35.0 ETH (32.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2131 2026-07-02: 32.4 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-09-10: 1.55 ETH (sale)
- 2020-09-14: 1.75 ETH (sale)
- 2020-09-24: 2.49 ETH (sale)
- 2021-05-15: 16.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-26: 21.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-25: 78.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-06-10: 47.5 ETH (sale)
- 2022-06-18: 55.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-07-03: 66.5 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.