CryptoPunk #4221 valuation (beta)
Male, Normal Beard Black, Headband, Vape.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 37.3 ETH (about $84,798). 1σ range 33.5 to 41.5 ETH, 2σ range 30.1 to 46.2 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 37.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.5 to 41.5 ETH, 2σ range 30.1 to 46.2 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8159 2026-10-09: 35.9 ETH (34.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5163 2026-06-05: 33.0 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5163 2026-06-04: 30.8 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4942 2026-02-05: 34.5 ETH (34.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9837 2025-08-19: 52.0 ETH (32.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9837 2025-08-09: 60.0 ETH (32.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8692 2025-07-30: 93.1 ETH (51.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9837 2025-07-26: 58.0 ETH (34.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-07-29: 30.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.