CryptoPunk #4243 valuation (beta)
Female, Earring, Red Mohawk, Green Eye Shadow.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.6 ETH (about $71,775). 1σ range 29.9 to 33.3 ETH, 2σ range 28.3 to 35.2 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 51.0 ETH, 8.9σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.9 to 33.3 ETH, 2σ range 28.3 to 35.2 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +3%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3637 2026-09-17: 29.4 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6570 2026-08-24: 34.5 ETH (31.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5067 2026-08-20: 32.2 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7663 2026-04-04: 32.0 ETH (34.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1746 2026-02-07: 31.7 ETH (31.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1454 2026-02-01: 27.9 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6674 2026-01-19: 27.5 ETH (28.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1454 2026-01-16: 29.2 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-04-29: 1.00 ETH (sale)
- 2025-05-13: 47.9 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.