CryptoPunk #4251 valuation (beta)
Male, Mustache, Earring, Top Hat, VR.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 52.8 ETH (about $120,049). 1σ range 40.7 to 68.5 ETH, 2σ range 31.4 to 88.9 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 52.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 40.7 to 68.5 ETH, 2σ range 31.4 to 88.9 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Earring -2%, Top Hat +30%, VR +23%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1839 2026-09-04: 162 ETH (158 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4336 2026-05-28: 78.0 ETH (73.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8870 2026-05-19: 130 ETH (115 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4855 2026-04-21: 39.0 ETH (41.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9024 2026-03-28: 30.0 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6883 2026-02-01: 30.7 ETH (33.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6012 2026-01-20: 44.4 ETH (48.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6883 2026-01-16: 30.5 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
None on record.
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.