CryptoPunk #4263 valuation (beta)
Female, Mohawk, Pipe.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 37.9 ETH (about $86,116). 1σ range 33.7 to 42.6 ETH, 2σ range 30.0 to 47.9 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 37.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.7 to 42.6 ETH, 2σ range 30.0 to 47.9 ETH, confidence High, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +23%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3364 2026-10-30: 29.0 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3364 2026-10-28: 28.5 ETH (28.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9228 2026-09-23: 32.5 ETH (28.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8674 2026-09-22: 35.6 ETH (32.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2721 2026-09-22: 36.0 ETH (33.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9912 2026-09-18: 35.0 ETH (35.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7813 2026-07-06: 40.0 ETH (37.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7076 2026-06-13: 41.0 ETH (37.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-08-04: 49.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-14: 54.7 ETH (sale)
- 2021-11-03: 100 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-12-10: 81.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-01-25: 92.3 ETH (sale)
- 2022-03-11: 74.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.