CryptoPunk #4265 valuation (beta)
Female, Frumpy Hair, Blue Eye Shadow.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.7 ETH (about $69,835). 1σ range 29.2 to 32.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.7 to 34.1 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 125 ETH, 27.0σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.2 to 32.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.7 to 34.1 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- No attribute of this punk has a clear premium in recent sales, so the estimate is the type multiple.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8097 2024-11-12: 30.0 ETH (30.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2486 2026-10-26: 29.0 ETH (28.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5893 2026-10-15: 31.2 ETH (30.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4351 2026-10-02: 31.7 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5893 2026-09-27: 31.0 ETH (27.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1914 2026-09-23: 37.0 ETH (32.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2837 2026-06-05: 30.9 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3898 2026-05-16: 32.5 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-17: 12.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-21: 20.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-23: 22.8 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-11: 25.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.