CryptoPunk #4286 valuation (beta)
Female, Hot Lipstick, Earring, Straight Hair Blonde, Green Eye Shadow.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.6 ETH (about $71,775). 1σ range 29.9 to 33.4 ETH, 2σ range 28.2 to 35.3 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.9 to 33.4 ETH, 2σ range 28.2 to 35.3 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +3%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 4+ sales landed within ±3.4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.5% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8539 2025-12-22: 27.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5295 2025-11-06: 50.0 ETH (42.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5295 2025-09-04: 49.0 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5295 2025-07-22: 53.0 ETH (33.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5295 2025-03-31: 45.0 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #646 2024-11-28: 37.2 ETH (28.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6370 2026-10-31: 36.0 ETH (35.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6897 2026-10-27: 29.4 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2022-01-25: 81.1 ETH (sale)
- 2022-01-31: 84.8 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.